School of Physical Sciences (SPS)

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School of Physical Sciences (SPS)

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    A Mathematical Model of a Yellow Fever Dynamics with Vaccination
    (Journal of the Nigerian Association of Mathematical Physics, 2015-11) F. A. Oguntolu; N. I. Akinwande; S. A. Somma; F. Y. Eguda; T. T. Ashezua
    In this paper, a mathematical model describing the dynamics of yellow fever epidemics, which involves the interactions of two principal communities of Hosts (Humans) and vectors (mosquitoes) is considered. The existence and uniqueness of solutions of the model were examined by actual solution. We conduct local stability analysis for the model. The results show that it is stable under certain conditions. The system of equations describing the phenomenon was solved analytically using parameter-expanding method coupled with direct integration. The results are presented graphically and discussed. It is discovered that improvement in Vaccination strategies will eradicate the epidemics.
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    On the verification of existence of backward bifurcation for a mathematical model of cholera dynamics
    (African Journals Online, 2023-09-12) A. A. Ayoade; O. J. Peter; F. A. Oguntolu; C.Y. Ishola; S. Amadiegwu
    A cholera transmission model, which incorporates preventive measures, is studied qualitatively. The stability results together with the center manifold theory are used to investigate the existence of backward bifurcation for the model. The epidemiological consequence of backward bifurcation is that the disease may still persist in the population even when the classical requirement of the reproductive number being less than one is satisfied.