School of Physical Sciences (SPS)

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School of Physical Sciences (SPS)

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    An Appraisal on the Application of Reproduction Number for the Stability Analysis of Disease - Free Equilibrium State for S-I-R Type Models
    (Proceedings of International Conference on Mathematical Modelling Optimization and Analysis of Disease Dynamics (ICMMOADD) 2024, 2024-02-28) Abdurrahman, Nurat Olamide; Somma S. A.; Akinwande, N. I.; Ashezua, T. T.; Gweryina, R.
    One of the key ideas in mathematical biology is the basic reproduction number, which can be utilized to comprehend how a disease epidemic profile might evolve in the future. The basic reproduction number, represented by R0 , is the anticipated number of secondary cases that a typical infectious individual would cause in a population that is fully susceptible. This threshold parameter is highly valuable in characterizing mathematical problems related to infectious diseases. If R0 < 1, this suggests that, on average, during the infectious period, an infected individual produces less than one new infected individual, suggesting that the infection may eventually be eradicated from the population. On the other hand, if R0 < 1, every infected person develops an average of multiple new infections, it suggests that the disease may continue to spread throughout the population. We discuss the Reproduction number in this work and provide some examples, both for straightforward and complicated situations.
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    SENSITIVITY ANALYSIS FOR THE MATHEMATICAL MODELING OF MEASLES DISEASE INCORPORATING TEMPORARY PASSIVE IMMUNITY
    (1st SPS Biennial International Conference Federal University of Technology, Minna, Nigeria, 2017-05-05) Somma, Samuel Abu; Akinwande, N. I.
    Measles is an airborne disease which spreads easily through the coughs and sneezes of those infected. Measles antibodies are transferred from mothers who have been vaccinated against measles or have been previously infected with measles to their newborn children. These antibodies are transferred in low amounts and usually last six months or less. In this paper a mathematical model of measles disease was formulated incorporating temporary passive immunity. There exist two equilibria in the model; Disease Free Equilibrium (DFE) and Endemic Equilibrium (EE). The Disease Free Equilibrium (DFE) state was analyzed for local and global stability. The Basic Reproduction Number 0 R was computed and used to carried out the sensitivity analysis with some parameters of the mode. The analysis shows that as contact rate  increases the 0 as the vaccination rate v increases the 0 R decreases. Sensitive parameters with the R R 0 increases and were presented graphically. The disease will die out of the population if the attention is given to high level immunization.
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    Mathematical Modelling for the Effect of Malaria on the Heterozygous and Homozygous Genes
    (6th International Conference on Mathematical Analysis and Optimization: Theory and Applications (ICAPTA 2019), 2019-03-29) Abdurrahman, N. O.; Akinwande, N. I.; Somma, Samuel Abu
    This paper models the effect of malaria on the homozygous for the normal gene (AA), heterozygous for sickle cell gene (AS) and homozygous for sickle cell gene (SS) using the first order ordinary differential equation. The Diseases Free Equilibrium (DFE) was obtained and used to compute the basic reproduction Number Ro. The local stability of the (DFE) was analyzed.
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    Differential Transformation Method (DTM) for Solving Mathematical Modelling of Monkey Pox Virus Incorporating Quarantine
    (Proceedings of 2nd SPS Biennial International Conference Federal University of Technology, Minna, Nigeria, 2019-06-26) Somma, Samuel Abu; Akinwande, N. I.; Abdurrahman, N. O.; Zhiri, A. B.
    In this paper the Mathematical Modelling of Monkey Pox Virus Incorporating Quarantine was solved semi-analytically using Differential Transformation Method (DTM). The solutions of difference cases were presented graphically. The graphical solutions gave better understanding of the dynamics of Monkey pox virus, it was shown that effective Public Enlightenment Campaign and Progression Rate of Quarantine are important parameters that will prevent and control the spread of Monkey Pox in the population.
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    Local and Global Stability Analysis of a Mathematical Model of Measles Incorporating Maternally-Derived-Immunity
    (Proceedings of International Conference on Applied Mathematics & Computational Sciences (ICAMCS),, 2019-10-19) Somma, Samuel Abu; Akinwande, N. I.; Gana, P.
    In this paper, the local stabilities of both the Disease Free Equilibrium (DFE) and Endemic Equilibrium (EE) were analyzed using the Jacobian matrix stability technique. The global stabilities were analyzed using Lyapunov function. The analysis shows that the DFE is locally and globally stable if the basic reproduction number R 0  1 R 0  1 and R 0  1 respectively. The EE is also locally and globally stable if . Vaccination and recovery rates have been shown from the graphical presentation as the important parameter that will eradicate measles from the population.
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    Stability Analysis for Mathematical Modeling of Dengue Fever Transmission and Control
    (Proceedings of International Conference on Contemporary Developments in Mathematical Sciences (ICCDMS), 2021-04-13) Aliyu, A. H.; Akinwande, N. I.; Somma Samuel Abu
    Dengue fever is one of the greatest health challenges in the present world. In this work, mathematical modeling of dengue fever transmission and control was formulated. The model considered the human population h N and the vector population m N which are further subdivided into six classes, susceptible human 𝑆, infected human 𝐼, temporary recovered human class 1 R, permanently recovered human class 2 R , susceptible mosquito 1 M, and infected mosquito class 2 M . The Disease Free Equilibrium (DFE) point was obtained and the basic Reproduction number 0 R was computed. The Disease Free Equilibrium (DFE) is locally and globally asymptotically stable when 1 0  R .
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    Local Stability Analysis of a Tuberculosis Model incorporating Extensive Drug Resistant Subgroup
    (Pacific Journal of Science and Technology, 2017-05-25) Eguda, F. Y.; Akinwande, N. I.; Abdulrahman, S.; Kuta, F. A.; Somma, Samuel Abu
    This paper proposes a mathematical model for the transmission dynamics of Tuberculosis incorporating extensive drug resistant subgroup. The effective reproduction number c R was obtained and conditions for local stability of the disease free equilibrium and endemic equilibrium states were established. Numerical simulations confirmed the stability analysis and further revealed that unless proper measures are taken against typical TB, progression to XDR-TB, mortality and morbidity of infected individuals shall continue to rise.
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    Mathematical Modeling of Algae Population Dynamics on the Surface of Water
    (2019-11-12) Abdurrahman, O. N.; Akinwande, N. I.; Somma, Samuel Abu
    The paper presented an analytical solution of the exponential growth model of algae population dynamics on the water surface. The Computer Symbolic Algebraic Package, MAPLE is used to simulate the graphical profiles of the population with time while varying the parameters, such as diffusion and rate of change of algae density, governing the subsistence or extinction of the water organisms.