Industrial Mathematics

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Industrial Mathematics

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    Effects of Undesired Course of Study on Students' Academic Achievement in Nigeria Using Binary Logistic Regression
    (Journal of Science, Technology, Mathematics and Education, 2017-09) O. M. Adetutu; F. A. Oguntolu; U. Abdullahi
    This study was conducted to examine the effects of undesired course of study on students' academic performance in tertiary institutions in Nigeria. The questionnaire method was used with stratified sampling scheme. The questionnaire was administered to 400 students in Federal University of Technology, Minna Nigeria. Factors such as gender, age, satisfaction and the course of study were examined whether these factors were having effect on students' academic performance. The student cumulative grade point average (CGPA) was used as a measure of academic performance. The data were analyzed using binary logistic regression and the results revealed that satisfaction with course of study and undesired course of study affected students' academic performance. However, age and gender difference did not affect students' academic performance.
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    A Mathematical Model of a Yellow Fever Dynamics with Vaccination
    (Journal of the Nigerian Association of Mathematical Physics, 2015-11) F. A. Oguntolu; N. I. Akinwande; S. A. Somma; F. Y. Eguda; T. T. Ashezua
    In this paper, a mathematical model describing the dynamics of yellow fever epidemics, which involves the interactions of two principal communities of Hosts (Humans) and vectors (mosquitoes) is considered. The existence and uniqueness of solutions of the model were examined by actual solution. We conduct local stability analysis for the model. The results show that it is stable under certain conditions. The system of equations describing the phenomenon was solved analytically using parameter-expanding method coupled with direct integration. The results are presented graphically and discussed. It is discovered that improvement in Vaccination strategies will eradicate the epidemics.
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    Mathematical model for control of tuberculosis epidemiology
    (Springer Science and Business Media LLC, 2022-04-22) Mayowa M. Ojo; Olumuyiwa James Peter; Emile Franc Doungmo Goufo; Hasan S. Panigoro; Festus Abiodun Oguntolu
    Tuberculosis is an infectious disease caused by bacteria that most commonly affects the lungs. Due to its high mortality, it remains a global health issue, and it is one of the leading causes of death in the majority of sub-Saharan African countries. We formulate a six-compartmental deterministic model to investigate the impact of vaccination on the dynamics of tuberculosis in a given population. The qualitative behaviors of the presented model were examined, and the respective threshold quantity was obtained. The tuberculosis-free equilibrium of the system is said to be locally asymptotically stable when the effective reproduction number and unstable otherwise. Furthermore, we examined the stability of the endemic equilibrium, and the conditions for the existence of backward bifurcation are discussed. A numerical simulation was performed to demonstrate and support the theoretical findings. The result shows that reducing the effective contact with an infected person and enhancing the rate of vaccinating susceptible individuals with high vaccine efficacy will reduce the burden of tuberculosis in the population.
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    Mathematical model and analysis of the soil-transmitted helminth infections with optimal control
    (Springer Science and Business Media LLC, 2024-02) Festus Abiodun Oguntolu; Olumuyiwa James Peter; Abubakar Yusuf; B. I. Omede; G. Bolarin; T. A. Ayoola
    Soil-transmitted helminth diseases are highly prevalent in impoverished regions and pose a significant health burden on the global population. These diseases are primarily transmitted through the contamination of soil with human faces containing parasite eggs. This study presents a novel deterministic mathematical model to comprehensively investigate the dynamics of helminth infection transmission through the soil. The mathematical model exhibits two equilibrium points: the diseases-free equilibrium point (DFE) and the endemic equilibrium point (EEP). The DFE is proven to be locally and globally asymptotically stable when the basic reproduction number is less than one, indicating the potential for disease eradication. Conversely, the EEP is locally asymptotically stable when the basic reproduction number exceeds unity, representing a persistent endemic state. To explore effective intervention strategies for controlling the spread of these infections, optimal control theory is applied. The study incorporates two time-varying control variables derived from sensitivity analysis: the rate of hygiene consciousness in the susceptible class and the rate of hygiene consciousness in the infectious class. Numerical simulations demonstrate that implementing optimal control strategies can successfully curb and mitigate soil-transmitted helminth infections. Overall, this research highlights the importance of proactive and targeted interventions, emphasizing the significance of hygiene education and awareness campaigns. By implementing optimal control measures based on the proposed strategies, the burden of soil-transmitted helminth diseases can be significantly reduced, improving public health in affected regions.
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    Modeling prevalence of meningitis control strategies through evaluating with available data on meningitis cases reported in Nigeria
    (Springer Science and Business Media LLC, 2025-05-14) O.J. Peter; F.A. Oguntolu; N. Nyerere; A. El-Mesady
    Meningitis is a major public health concern, especially in developing nations, due to its devastating consequences for human health. Although modeling studies have examined disease transmission dynamics, little attention has been paid to how control strategies affect the behavior of different population groups, including carriers, symptomatic individuals, hospitalized patients, and those in intensive care. This study proposes a computational framework that compares the effectiveness of vaccination of people at risk of the disease versus treating symptomatic infected persons. The basic reproduction number is used to evaluate the equilibrium points. Assess the precision of the proposed model’s illustration to data. We fit the meningitis model using the information at our disposal on meningitis cases reported in Nigeria from the first week of January to the last week of December 2023; this was obtained from the Nigerian Center for Disease Control (NCDC) database. We also performed a sensitivity analysis using a normalized forward sensitivity index to see which parameters had significant effects on the effective reproduction number. The results of both analytical techniques and numerical simulations reveal that recruitment rate, vaccination, progression from carrier to symptomatic stages, and disease-induced death all significantly reduce the incidence and prevalence of meningitis in the community. The study findings could be used to inform decisions about meningitis control initiatives.
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    Direct and Indirect Transmission Dynamics of Typhoid Fever Model by Differential Transform Method
    (ATBU, Journal of Science, Technology & Education (JOSTE), 2018-03) O. J. Peter; M. O. Ibrahim; F. A. Oguntolu; O. B. Akinduko; S. T. Akinyemi
    The aim of this paper is to apply the Differential Transformation Method (DTM) to solve typhoid fever model for a given constant population. This mathematical model is described by nonlinear first order ordinary differential equations. First, we find the solution of this model by using the differential transformation method (DTM). In order to show the efficiency of the method, we compare the solutions obtained by DTM and RK4. We illustrated the profiles of the solutions, from which we speculate that the DTM and RK4 solutions agreed well.
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    Approximate Solution of Typhoid Fever Model by Variational Iteration Method
    (ATBU, Journal of Science, Technology & Education (JOSTE), 2018-09) A. F. Adebisi; O. J. Peter; T. A. Ayoola; F. A. Oguntolu; C. Y. Ishola
    In this paper, a deterministic mathematical model involving the transmission dynamics of typhoid fever is presented and studied. Basic idea of the disease transmission using compartmental modeling is discussed. The aim of this paper is to apply Variational Iteration Method (VIM) to solve typhoid fever model for a given constant population. This mathematical model is described by nonlinear first order ordinary differential equations. First, we find the solution of the model by using Variation Iteration Method (VIM). The validity of the VIM in solving the model is established by classical fourth-order Runge-Kutta method (RK4) implemented in Maple 18. In order to show the efficiency of the method we compare the solutions obtained by VIM and RK4. We illustrated the profiles of the solutions of each of the compartments, from which we speculate that the VIM and RK4 solutions agreed well.
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    Bifurcation Analysis on the Mathematical Model of Measles Disease Dynamics
    (Horizon Research Publishing Co., Ltd., 2013-12) Samuel Abubakar; Ninuola Ifeoluwa Akinwande; Sirajo Abdulrahman; Festus Abiodun Oguntolu
    In this paper we proposed a Mathematical model of Measles disease dynamics. The Disease Free Equilibrium (DFE) state, Endemic Equilibrium (EE) states and the characteristic equation of the model were obtained. The condition for the stability of the Disease Free equilibrium state was obtained. We analyze the bifurcation of the Disease Free Equilibrium (DFE) and the result of the analysis was presented in a tabular form.
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    Mathematical model for the control of measles
    (African Journals Online (AJOL), 2018-05-03) O. J. Peter; O. A. Afolabi; A. A. Victor; C. E. Akpan; F. A. Oguntolu
    We proposed a mathematical model of measles disease dynamics with vaccination by considering the total number of recovered individuals either from natural recovery or recovery due to vaccination. We tested for the existence and uniqueness of solution for the model using the Lipchitz condition to ascertain the efficacy of the model and proceeded to determine both the disease free equilibrium (DFE) and the endemic equilibrium (EE) for the system of the equations and vaccination reproduction number are given. Numerical simulation of the model shows that vaccination is capable of reducing the number of exposed and infectious population.
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    Multi-Step Homotopy Analysis Method for Solving Malaria Model
    (Universiti Sultan Zainal Abidin (Malaysian Journal of Applied Sciences), 2018-12-30) O. J. Peter; A. F. Adebisi; F. A. Oguntolu; S. Bitrus; C. E. Akpan
    In this paper, we consider the modified epidemiological malaria model proposed by Abadi and Harald. The multi-step homotopy analysis method (MHAM) is employed to compute an approximation to the solution of the model of fractional order. The fractional derivatives are described in the Caputo sense. We illustrated the profiles of the solutions of each of the compartments. Figurative comparisons between the MHAM and the classical fourth-order reveal that this method is very effective.