Industrial Mathematics

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Industrial Mathematics

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    Analytic Solution of typhoid fever infection via homotopy perturbation method (HPM)
    (Journal of Science, Technology, Mathematics and Education, 2018-03) F. A. Oguntolu; G. Gbolarin; O. M. Adetutu; A. O. Bello
    In this paper, a deterministic mathematical model of typhoid fever infection was formulated with a control strategies. We find the analytical solution of the proposed model by Homotopy perturbation method which is one of the best method for finding the solution of the nonlinear problem to obtain the approximate solution of the model. The results are presented graphically and discussed. It is discovered that the epidemic is sustained in the population. Implications of these results indicate that treatment sustain the carrier infectives who in turn sustains the epidemic in the population in the long run.
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    n Inequality to Generate Some Statistical Distributions
    (Asian Journal of mathematics and Applications, 2013) A. F. Oguntolu; U. Y. Abubakar; A. Isah; L. A. Nafiu; K. Rauf
    In this work, we established Markov inequality via Binomial, Poisson and Geometric Distribution. Results obtained were used to obtain probability bound for some random variables. Our results are in agreement with the existing works.
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    Approximate Solution of SIR Infectious Disease Model Using Homotopy Pertubation Method (HPM)
    (Pacific Journal of Science and Technology, 2013-11) S. Abubakar; N. I. Akinwande; O. R. Jimoh; F. A. Oguntolu; O. D. Ogwumu
    In this paper we proposed a SIR model for general infectious disease dynamics. The analytical solution is obtained using the Homotopy Perturbation Method (HPM). We used theMATLAB computer software package to obtain the graphical profiles of the three compartments while varying some salient parameters. The analysis revealed that the efforts at eradication or reduction of disease prevalence must always match or even supersede the infection rate.
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    Application of Bootstrap Re-sampling Method to a Categorical Data of HIV/AIDS Spread across different Social-Economic Classes
    (Scientific & Academic Publishing, 2015) A. O. Bello; F. A. Oguntolu; O. M. Adetutu; J. P. Ojedokun
    This research reports on the relationship and significance of social-economic factors (age, gender, employment status) and modes of HIV/AIDS transmission to the HIV/AIDS spread. Logistic regression model, a form of probabilistic function for binary response was used to relate social-economic factors (age, sex, employment status) to HIV/AIDS spread. The statistical predictive model was used to project the likelihood response of HIV/AIDS spread with a larger population using 10,000 Bootstrap re-sampled observations.
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    Local Stability Analysis of a River Blindness Disease Model with Control
    (The Pacific Journal of Science and Technology, 2018-05) F. A. Oguntolu; G. Bolarin; S. A. Somma; A.O. Bello
    In this paper, a mathematical model to study the dynamics of River Blindness is presented. The existence and uniqueness of solutions of the model were examined by actual solution. The effective reproduction number was obtained using the next generation matrix. The Disease Free Equilibrium (DFE) State was obtained and analysed for stability. It was found that, the DFE State is Locally Asymptotically Stable (LAS) if the effective reproduction number R0 < 1 and unstable if R0 > 1.
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    On the Global Stability of Cholera Model with Prevention and Control
    (Malaysian Journal of Computing (MJoC), 2018-06-05) A. A. Ayoade; M. O. Ibrahim; O. J. Peter; F. A. Oguntolu
    In this study, a system of first order ordinary differential equations is used to analyse the dynamics of cholera disease via a mathematical model extended from Fung (2014) cholera model. The global stability analysis is conducted for the extended model by suitable Lyapunov function and LaSalle’s invariance principle. It is shown that the disease free equilibrium (DFE) for the extended model is globally asymptotically stable if Rq0 < 1 and the disease eventually disappears in the population with time while there exists a unique endemic equilibrium that is globally asymptotically stable whenever Rq0 > 1 for the extended model or R0 > 1 for the original model and the disease persists at a positive level though with mild waves (i.e few cases of cholera) in the case of Rq0 > 1. Numerical simulations for strong, weak, and no prevention and control measures are carried out to verify the analytical results and Maple 18 is used to carry out the computations.
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    Semi analytical method for solving lymphatic filariasis epidemic model
    (African Journals Online (AJOL), 2019-03-08) F. A. Oguntolu; N. I. Akinwande; N. O. Olayiwola; F. A. Faruq
    In this paper, we present a deterministic model on the transmission dynamics of Lymphatic Filariasis. Non-Standard Finite Difference Method (NSFDM) is employed to attempt the solution of the model. The validity of the NSFDM in solving the model is established by using the computer in-built classical fourth-order Runge-Kutta method. The comparism between Non-Standard Finite Difference Method solution and Runge-Kutta (RK4) were performed which were found to be efficient, accurate and rapidly convergence.
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    Modelling and optimal control analysis of Lassa fever disease
    (Elsevier BV, 2020) Olumuyiwa James Peter; Adesoye Idowu Abioye; Festus Abiodun Oguntolu; Titilayo Abimbola Owolabi; Michael Oyelami Ajisope; Abdullaziz Glabe Zakari; Timilehin Gideon Shaba
    Lassa fever is a severe hemorrhagic viral infection whose agents belong to Mastomys natelensis. Generally, humans contract Lassa virus through exposure to food or household products that have been contaminated with the excreta of the infected rodents. Lassa fever is endemic in some West African countries including Nigeria. A basic model is proposed to examine the transmission of the disease. The proposed model is subjected to qualitative study via the theory of differential equations and the threshold quantity that denotes the dominant eigenvalue was derived using next-generation matrix approach. The basic model is further extended to an optimal control model with four controls namely, the fumigation of the environment with pesticide, the use of condom to prevent human to human transmission during sexual activities, early treatment and the use of indoor residual spray. The theory of optimal control was explored to establish the necessary conditions for curtailing the transmission of Lassa fever. Numerical simulation was conducted and the results showed that if the Lassa fever transmission and spread were to be reduced significantly in the endemic region, all the control measures must be taken with all seriousness.
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    Mathematical model of COVID-19 in Nigeria with optimal control
    (Elsevier BV, 2021-09) Adesoye Idowu Abioye; Olumuyiwa James Peter; Hammed Abiodun Ogunseye; Festus Abiodun Oguntolu; Kayode Oshinubi; Abdullahi Adinoyi Ibrahim; Ilyas Khan
    The novel Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) is a highly infectious disease caused by a new strain of severe acute respiratory syndrome of coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2). In this work, we proposed a mathematical model of COVID-19. We carried out the qualitative analysis along with an epidemic indicator which is the basic reproduction number () of this model, stability analysis of COVID-19 free equilibrium (CFE) and Endemic equilibrium (EE) using Lyaponuv function are considered. We extended the basic model into optimal control system by incorporating three control strategies. These are; use of face-mask and hand sanitizer along with social distancing; treatment of COVID-19 patients and active screening with testing and the third control is prevention against recurrence and reinfection of humans who have recovered from COVID-19. Daily data given by Nigeria Center for Disease Control (NCDC) in Nigeria is used for simulation of the proposed COVID-19 model to see the effects of the control measures. The biological interpretation of this findings is that, COVID-19 can be effectively managed or eliminated in Nigeria if the control measures implemented are capable of taking or sustaining the basic reproductive number to a value below unity. If the three control strategies are well managed by the government namely; NCDC, Presidential Task Force (PTF) and Federal Ministry of Health (FMOH) or policymakers, then COVID-19 in Nigeria will be eradicated.
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    Fractional order of pneumococcal pneumonia infection model with Caputo Fabrizio operator
    (Elsevier BV, 2021-10) Olumuyiwa James Peter; Abdullahi Yusuf; Kayode Oshinubi; Festus Abiodun Oguntolu; John Oluwasegun Lawal; Adesoye Idowu Abioye; Tawakalt Abosede Ayoola
    In this study, we present the Pneumococcal Pneumonia infection model using fractional order derivatives in the Caputo-Fabrizio sense. We use fixed-point theory to prove the existence of the solution and investigate the uniqueness of the model variables. The fractional Adams-Bashforth method is used to compute an iterative solution to the model. Finally, using the model parameter values to explain the importance of the arbitrary fractional order derivative, the numerical results are presented.